SeaViews: Insights from the Gray Havens 
  Nov-Dec 2004

Motto: The surest way to get a reputation for being a trouble maker these days is to go about repeating the very phrases that the Founders used in the struggle for independence.

-- C.A. Beard

Disclaimer: The editor speaks only for himself, and sometimes even he is wrong.


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On last month's Fix;

the answer to last month's Fix,
""Is vote sharing (ala VotePair) ethical?"
If you goto, you can agree to trade your vote with someone across state lines who may be willing to vote for "your" guy on a close race if you agree to vote for his dark horse in your state. Why would anyone do this? Let's say that the Kerry/Bush line is tight in Ohio. But at least third party candidiate Ralph Nader is on the ballot there. An Ohion for Nader may want to trade his vote to boost Nader's count in your state of say New York. The 2 of you agree to swap, that Ohion will vote for Bush if you promist to vote for Nader and improve the Independant Party showing in your state.

Sounds like a neat way to beat the unfairness of where you happen to live right? Except it may be illegal, and whose to say the other guy voted what he promised anyway? In any case, it is interesting to note that all the groups that tried this in the election are tied to the Dems, so that may be enough said. It will be interesting to see how much the media, who were largely silent on this topic in 2004, will react if the Reps try something similar in 2008. No doubt, FBI investigation will be called for in that event.

Guest Editorial:

A less conservative Bush?
Robert N.

January 24, 2005

WASHINGTON -- As happy conservatives gathered in Washington last week to celebrate the presidential re-election of one of their own, haunting questions were raised for some of them. Now that George W. Bush never will have to face the electorate again, is he sidestepping toward the middle? Is he looking more like his father and less like Ronald Reagan?

 The inaugural address, which evoked lavish praise from many Republicans attending the ceremonies, sounded less conservative than neo-conservative in advocating a global crusade for democracy. But it was not the speech that generated unease among some of President Bush's staunchest supporters. A re-elected president's speech at his inauguration is not supposed to be an ideological manifesto. 

 Instead, concern about Bush's second-term course is derived from a variety of signals, small and large, coming from the White House. None of them separately signifies a president abandoning the principles upon which he was elected. But taken together, they generate doubt and more than a little unease on the right.

 -- In pre-inaugural comments, Bush sounded defeatist about prospects for a constitutional amendment to bar same-sex marriage. After campaigning on the issue last year, he appeared resigned to failure in the Senate this year.

 -- The second-term nominations abound with officials who are comfortable personally with George W. Bush, but do not necessarily follow an ideological course. The first round of nominations contained names provoking outrage on the left: John Ashcroft, Ted Olson, Gale Norton, Linda Chavez (whose nomination was withdrawn) and John Bolton. The second round is less combative.

 -- The State Department appears likely to be dominated by careerists under Condoleezza Rice more than it was under Colin Powell. There seems to be no place for Bolton, the conservative bulwark at State as under secretary for arms control since 2001.

 -- The new co-chairman of the Republican National Committee, Jo Ann Davidson, has been a member of the abortion rights group Republicans for Choice since its founding 15 years ago. While handpicked at the White House for the party post, she has opposed the president's position on abortion.

 The selection of Davidson incurred the wrath of conservative Christian leaders in her home state of Ohio, but it was perhaps the least troubling of the inaugural week indicators. An old party war-horse and the first woman speaker of the Ohio House of Representatives, Davidson did yeoman service in carrying her pivotal state for Bush last year while Republican Gov. Bob Taft was no help at all. She has promised conservatives not to address any pro-choice Republican groups while serving as party co-chairman and pledged support for every part of the president's program.

 The new State Department team is more worrisome. Nick Burns, a foreign service officer named to the department's third-ranking post as under secretary for political affairs, is close to the John Kerry foreign policy team and probably would have had the same position if Bush had lost. There is no Bolton-type conservative stalwart in the second-term lineup.

 The biggest inaugural week concern for the conservative movement was Bush's Jan. 16 interview with the Washington Post, when he was asked whether he would expend his political capital to push the anti-gay marriage constitutional amendment. Bush replied: "The point is that senators have made it clear that so long as DOMA [Defense of Marriage Act, barring gay marriages] is deemed constitutional, nothing will happen. I'd take their admonition seriously."

 On NBC's "Meet the Press" that day, presidential counselor Dan Bartlett said Bush "will spend political capital" to pass the constitutional amendment. In his acceptance speech Wednesday as the new chairman of the Republican National Committee, Ken Mehlman hailed the "promotion of marriage." None of that satisfied social conservatives, who note that Bush has not sounded defeatist on Social Security reform just because the odds are against him.

 It cannot be disputed that George W. Bush's tone has changed since the election. The 22nd Amendment, prohibiting a third presidential term, is a two-way street. I reported last month that even loyal Republican lawmakers feel less constrained to follow a term-limited president. But that same president is under far less pressure to obey the demands of his political base.


1. From:
    Date: 15 Nov. 2004
  ""Is vote sharing (ala VotePair) ethical?"

  I think not. It's a way to get around the gerry-mandering of the voting districts that the right has been doing since the 1994 turnover. All's fair in  war and politics.


Quote(s) of the month:

"If you ever write about my family again, I will ^(*^&(ing find you and I will ^%(%ing hurt you"

-- Peace loving liberal actor Timithy Robbins, responding to reporter Lloyd Grove who wrote of wife Susan Sarandon's mother's support for Pres. GW Bush

Fix of the month:

"Does a blood or breath test given to a driver violate the Constitutional protections against self-incrimination? If yes, how can this be corrected?"



1. Poulsbo, Dec 15: A robber held up a gas station in broad daylight in this bustling community of 2500 on the Kitsap Penninsula. He then led police on a high speed chase around the town, only to be caught when he stopped to ask directions - at the same gas station he robbed.
2. Olympia, Jan 6: Former Attorney General Christine Gregourre was declared the new Govnr. today, to the great annoyance of the Rep. Candidate who was declared the winner after November's elections by 350 votes, and again by a December recount by 200 votes. But Dem. supporters cried foul in King COunty and said not enough homeless votes were counted. So, Miss G ends up winning the race in the third recount, by 139 votes.


1. Milwaukee, 15 Jan:  Gwen Moore won a Senate seat this past November, partly due to the efforts of her devoted son, Supreme Solar Allah (birth name is Sowande Omokunde). Sonny, as we will call him, still lives in Mom's house on the south side of Milwaukee. He and buds Mike Pratt (son of former Mayo Marvin Pratt) and Opel Simmons the III (a Dem. activist from Virginia) were helping mom and John Kerry out. How? By putting up signs, organizing rallys, and slashing the tires of 20 cars rented by Rep. supporters. It warms my heart to see such family devotion.

2. Milwaukee, 18 Jan: Just in case Sonny and pals were not up to the task, about 7000 dead, incarcerated and otherwise illegal ballots were cast to help out Kerry and crew. Given that WIsonson only went for Kerry by about 3000 votes, it would appear that if the Reps were to take a lesson from Washington State Dems, they could change the state's color on the electpral map.


Washington D.C.

1. Jan 10: While the EU and the UN castigate the Bush White house for not giving enough aid to the Tsunami victims, a dirtly little secret is that the EU has tied Indonesian aid to a promise to purchase 9 new Airbus super transports. The jets, which can carry 800 people, will dwarf the 747 in both size, and at $500M a piece - cost.